Disability and health journal · 2024
Understanding COVID-19 infection among people with intellectual and developmental disabilities using machine learning.
СтатьяНазвание и аннотация: Перевод пока не подготовлен
Обработка статьи · этапы, ошибки и управление
Загрузка состояния…
Ошибки и ограничения
История · было → стало
Состояние обновляется каждые 5 секунд, пока блок открыт. Процент показывается только там, где известен объём работы. Пауза останавливает продолжение этапа; текущий запрос к источнику может завершиться.
Broda Michael D, Bogenschutz Matthew, Dinora Parthenia, Prohn Seb, Lineberry Sarah, West Angela
Аннотация
BACKGROUND: People with intellectual and developmental disabilities (IDD) were disproportionately affected by the COVID-19 pandemic. Predicting COVID-19 infection has been difficult.
OBJECTIVE: We sought to address two research questions in this study: 1) to assess the overall utility of a machine learning model to predict COVID-19 diagnosis for people with IDD, and 2) to determine the primary predictors of COVID-19 diagnosis in a random sample of Home and Community Based Services users in one state.
METHODS: We merged three major IDD-specific datasets (National Core Indicators, Supports Intensity Scale, Medicaid HCBS expenditures) from one state to create one combined dataset for analyses that included more than 700 variables. We then built a random forest machine learning algorithm to predict COVID-19 diagnosis and to explore the top predictors of such a diagnosis, when present.
RESULTS: Our algorithm predicted COVID-19 diagnosis in a random sample of HCBS users with IDD with 62.5% accuracy. The top predictors of having a documented case of COVID-19 among our sample were higher age, having high overall, medical, or behavioral support needs, living in a lower-income neighborhood, total Medicaid expenditure, and higher body mass index.
CONCLUSIONS: Results largely followed trends in the general population, and were largely suggestive that increased contact with other people may have exposed a person with IDD to greater COVID-19 risk.
OBJECTIVE: We sought to address two research questions in this study: 1) to assess the overall utility of a machine learning model to predict COVID-19 diagnosis for people with IDD, and 2) to determine the primary predictors of COVID-19 diagnosis in a random sample of Home and Community Based Services users in one state.
METHODS: We merged three major IDD-specific datasets (National Core Indicators, Supports Intensity Scale, Medicaid HCBS expenditures) from one state to create one combined dataset for analyses that included more than 700 variables. We then built a random forest machine learning algorithm to predict COVID-19 diagnosis and to explore the top predictors of such a diagnosis, when present.
RESULTS: Our algorithm predicted COVID-19 diagnosis in a random sample of HCBS users with IDD with 62.5% accuracy. The top predictors of having a documented case of COVID-19 among our sample were higher age, having high overall, medical, or behavioral support needs, living in a lower-income neighborhood, total Medicaid expenditure, and higher body mass index.
CONCLUSIONS: Results largely followed trends in the general population, and were largely suggestive that increased contact with other people may have exposed a person with IDD to greater COVID-19 risk.