Outcome prediction of pediatric moyamoya disease using midterm cerebral blood flow measured between staged anastomoses.

PURPOSE: Cognitive outcomes of pediatric moyamoya disease are variable and difficult to predict on the basis of initial neurological signs and examinations. To determine the best early time point for outcome prediction, we retrospectively analyzed the correlation between cognitive outcomes and the cerebrovascular reserve capacity (CRC) measured before, between, and after staged bilateral anastomoses.

METHODS

Twenty-two patients aged 4-15 years were included in this study. CRC was measured before the first hemispheric surgery (preoperative CRC), 1 year after the first surgery (midterm CRC), and 1 year after the surgery on the other side (final CRC). The cognitive outcome was the Pediatric Cerebral Performance Category Scale (PCPCS) grade more than 2 years after the final surgery.

RESULTS

The 17 patients with favorable outcomes (PCPCS grades 1 or 2) showed a preoperative CRC of 4.9% ± 11.2%, which was not better than that of the five patients with unfavorable outcomes (grade 3; 0.3% ± 8.5%, p = 0.5). The 17 patients with favorable outcomes showed a midterm CRC of 23.8% ± 15.3%, which was significantly better than that of the five patients with unfavorable outcomes (-2.5% ± 12.1%, p = 0.004). The difference was much more significant for the final CRC, which was 24.8% ± 13.1% in the patients with favorable outcomes and -11.3% ± 6.7% in those with unfavorable outcomes (p = 0.00004).

CONCLUSION

Cognitive outcomes were first clearly discriminated by the CRC after the first-side unilateral anastomosis, which is the optimal early timing for the prediction of individual prognosis.