Cancer incidence and all-cause mortality in HIV-positive patients in Northeastern Algeria before and during the era of highly active antiretroviral therapy.

AIMS: To assess cancer incidence and all-cause mortality trends in HIV-positive patients in Algeria before and during the highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) era.

SETTINGS AND

DESIGN

Cross-sectional study.

SUBJECTS AND

METHODS

We used hospital-based data of patients with HIV/AIDS between January 1988 and December 2010.

STATISTICAL ANALYSIS USED: Cancer incidence, standardized mortality ratios (SMRs), risk of death, and proportion of HIV-positive patients treated before and during the HAART era were calculated. The joinpoint model was used to assess the magnitude of changes in SMRs.

RESULTS

In 1988-2010, 156 patients were diagnosed as HIV-positive. During pre-HAART era, Kaposi sarcoma (KS) incidence was 5%. After the introduction of HAART, KS incidence decreased to 2%. No other AIDS-related cancer was diagnosed during the study. One-third died (52/156), of which 83.6% died in the same year as or in the year after HIV diagnosis; median age at death (interquartile range) was 34.5 (11.8) years. Yearly risk of death declined from 100% in 1998 to 8% in 2010; percentage of patients treated with HAART increased from 13% in 1998 to >80% after 2002. Overall SMR decreased from 200.2 (95% confidence interval [95% CI], 123.2-325.2) before the HAART era to 91.4 (95% CI, 66.0-126.6) thereafter. From 2003, yearly SMRs decreased significantly by 66.1% (P < 0.05) until 2006 but not thereafter.

CONCLUSIONS

Since 1998, the proportion of HIV-positive patients treated with HAART increased, reaching 84% in 2010, all-cause mortality decreased, and cancer remained rare. However, almost all patients who died during the study seemed to be diagnosed at a late stage of the disease, emphasizing the need for earlier diagnosis of HIV in Algeria.