Procalcitonin/Albumin Ratio Predicts the Outcome After Severe Traumatic Brain Injury: A Propensity Score-Matched Analysis.

BACKGROUND

The procalcitonin/albumin ratio (PAR), a novel inflammation-based index, has been reported to predict the prognosis following cardiopulmonary bypass surgery and bacterial infection. However, whether PAR can predict the outcome of patients with severe traumatic brain injury (STBI) has not been fully elucidated. This study aimed to investigate the relationship between serum PAR levels and prognosis at 6 months after STBI.

METHODS

We retrospectively enrolled 129 patients diagnosed with STBI and collected relevant clinical and laboratory data. Logistic regression analysis was used to estimate the association of PAR with the prognosis of STBI. The receiver operating characteristics curve was performed to examine the predictive use of PAR for prognosis. Propensity score matching (PSM) analysis was also performed to improve the reliability of the results. The primary outcome measures were expressed as a score on the modified Rankin Scale at 6 months.

RESULTS

The unfavorable prognosis group had advanced age, lower Glasgow Coma Scale score, higher rate of cerebral hernia and intracranial infection, higher neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and C-reactive protein/albumin ratio (CAR), elevated PAR, and higher rate of pneumonia. Multivariate analysis showed that PAR (before PSM: odds ratio 3.473, 95% confidence interval 2.983-4.043, P < 0.001; after PSM: odds ratio 5.358, 95% confidence interval 3.689-6.491, P < 0.001) was independently associated with unfavorable outcome. The area under the curve of the PAR for predicting an unfavorable outcome was higher than that of the CAR and NLR.

CONCLUSIONS

The PAR might be a novel independent risk factor of the outcome after STBI. Moreover, PAR was a better biomarker in predicting the outcome of patients with STBI than CAR and NLR.