[Epidemiology and risk factors of adverse outcome in nonvariceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding].

AIM: To identify risk factors of adverse outcomes in patients with nonvariceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding.

MATERIAL AND

METHODS

Epidemiological observational analytical longitudinal retrospective cohort study included 312 patients who were hospitalized in the Clinical Hospital #40 of Yekaterinburg in 2014-2016. The main inclusion criterion was nonvariceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding.

RESULTS

In-hospital mortality was 31 (9.9%) of 312 patients. Multivariate analysis confirmed the following risk factors of mortality: severity of blood loss (OR 22.70, 95% CI 5.08-102.00); open surgery (OR 15.20, 95% CI 2.71-74.80); M. Charlson comorbidity index (OR 2.15, 95% CI 1.34-3.43); risk of recurrent bleeding according to T. Rockall scale (OR 1.76, 95% CI 1.18-2.64).

CONCLUSION

Independent risk factors of adverse outcomes in patients with nonvariceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding are severe hemorrhagic shock, open surgery, high M. Charlson comorbidity index and risk of recurrent bleeding according to T. Rockall scale.