A Body Shape Index and Aortic Disease-Related Mortality in Japanese General Population.

AIMS: Aortic diseases (ADs), including aortic dissection, aortic aneurysm, and aortic rupture, are fatal, with extremely high mortality rates. A body shape index (ABSI), an anthropometric measure calculated as waist circumference adjusted by height and weight, improves the predictive capacity for mortality. However, whether ABSI is a risk factor for AD-related mortality in the general population remains unclear.

METHODS

We used a nationwide database of 630,842 individuals (aged 40-75 years) who participated in the annual "Specific Health Check and Guidance in Japan" between 2008 and 2010.

RESULTS

During the follow-up period of 3.8 years, 159 AD-related deaths occurred, including 105 aortic dissections and 54 aortic aneurysm ruptures. The subjects were divided into three groups based on ABSI tertiles. Kaplan-Meier analysis demonstrated that the 3rd tertile (with the highest ABSI) had the greatest risk among the three groups. Multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression analysis demonstrated that ABSI was significantly associated with AD-related death after adjusting for confounding risk factors. Neither waist circumference nor body mass index consistently predicted AD-related death in the multivariate model. The prediction capacity was significantly improved by the addition of ABSI to the confounding risk factors.

CONCLUSIONS

We demonstrated for the first time that ABSI, a surrogate marker for abdominal visceral fat tissue, was associated with AD-related deaths in the general population, suggesting the importance of central adiposity in the development of AD.