Burden trends of Alzheimer's disease and other dementias in China, 1990-2023: Sex, age, and risk-attributable patterns.

INTRODUCTION

China's population has aged rapidly in recent decades, accompanied by a steady rise in Alzheimer's disease and other dementias (ADOD). Understanding long-term national trends is important for anticipating future healthcare needs.

METHOD: The authors analysed Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2023 estimates for China from 1990 to 2023, following the Guidelines for Accurate and Transparent Health Estimates Reporting, with STROBE used as a secondary reporting reference. Deaths, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), incidence, and prevalence were examined together with crude rates, age-standardised rates (ASRs), and average annual percentage changes. Results were evaluated and stratified by sex and broad age group. Modelled risk-attributable burden was assessed for selected GBD risk factors-ambient particulate matter pollution, high fasting plasma glucose, smoking, and household air pollution from solid fuels.

RESULTS

Over the study period, the number of people affected increased markedly. Deaths rose from 122,411 in 1990 to 586,002 in 2023, while DALYs and prevalent cases more than tripled. In contrast, ASR showed only modest upward changes. Women had higher ASRs in 2023, although mortality- and DALY-related rates increased more quickly among men. The burden remained concentrated in those aged 75 years and older. Among the selected exposures, ambient particulate matter pollution accounted for the largest attributable share in 2023, whereas household air pollution declined over time.

CONCLUSION

The marked increase in absolute ADOD burden, together with smaller changes in ASR, is consistent with demographic ageing being an important contributor to rising dementia-related service needs in China. The risk-attributable estimates suggest changing population-level patterns for selected environmental and metabolic exposures, but they should not be interpreted as individual-level causal effects.