Comparison of the Prognostic Ability of the HCT-CI, the Modified EBMT, and the EBMT-ADT Pre-transplant Risk Scores for Acute Leukemia.

BACKGROUND

Allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) outcomes may be predicted by published risk scores; however, the ideal system has not been identified for acute leukemias.

PATIENTS AND

METHODS

We retrospectively examined the Hematopoietic Cell Transplantation-Comorbidity Index (HCT-CI), modified European Group for Blood and Marrow Transplantation (mEBMT), EBMT-Alternating Decision Tree (ADT), and others on 231 patients with acute leukemia.

RESULTS

Acute myeloid leukemia was diagnosed in 200 patients, and acute lymphocytic leukemia was diagnosed in 31 patients. For HCT-CI, patients were grouped as 0 to 1, 2 to 3, and > 3. For mEBMT, patients were grouped as 0 to 2, 3, and > 3. For EBMT-ADT, the 100-day mortality was calculated and grouped as ≤ 4.1%, 4.1% to 11.5%, and > 11.5%. Higher HCI-CI demonstrated inferior overall survival (P = .04; c-statistic, 0.57), whereas mEBMT and EBMT-ADT did not stratify well. A new weighted score was developed that assigned 1 point for age ≥ 60 years, acute lymphocytic leukemia diagnosis, mismatch unrelated or haploidentical donor, cardiovascular comorbidity, and pre-transplant diabetes, whereas arrhythmia received 2 points. The new weighted score assigned 0 points to 88 (38%), 1 to 2 points to 121 (52%) and ≥ 3 points to 22 (10%) patients, and demonstrated improved prognostic capability compared with the other scores (P = .0001; c-statistic, 0.61).

CONCLUSIONS

The HCT-CI stratifies patients with leukemia for overall survival but is inferior to our single-center score, which is influenced by cardiac comorbidity and arrhythmia. Differences in pre-transplant risk scores may be related to different transplant practices.